Perfect Bracket
Challenge
Semifinal
Head-to-head win over Florida and #1 KenPom net rating.
#2 net rating edges Michigan's #1 defense with balanced offense.
Championship
Polymarket favorite with superior efficiency and head-to-head edges.
Round of 64
massive favorite #4 KenPom vs bottom feeder
Clemson injuries to Welling, Iowa #25 KenPom slight fave
underseeded #12 KenPom -11.5 line
#14 KenPom -13.5 line dominant
UNC missing Caleb Wilson, VCU hot 16/17 wins
elite #7 KenPom top offense #2
#24 KenPom > #39 metrics edge
#5 KenPom elite defense chalk
Round of 32
#4 adjEM +33.79 crushes #25
brutally underseeded #12 vs #14 toss-up
superior #5 efficiency metrics
#7 KenPom top offense over #45
Sweet 16
best frontcourt defending champs edge
home-court Toyota Center #5 vs #7
Elite 8
favorable path top adjEM to Final Four
Round of 64
Duke #1 KenPom +38.9, -28 Vegas line
Slight Vegas -2.5 favorite, KP #26 > #43
KP #17 +25.9, -10 Vegas, Big East POY Ejiofor
KP #21 +24.4, -14 Vegas despite Peterson injury risk
KP #19 +25.4, -5.5 Vegas despite USF streak
KP #9 +28.3, -16.5 Vegas, Fears leads assists
KP #27, -6.5 Vegas favorite
KP #11 +27.9, -20+ Vegas
Round of 32
Duke elite efficiency overwhelms OSU
SJU #17 KP > Kansas #21, hot form vs injury concerns
UConn #11 KP >> UCLA #27, title experience
MSU #9 KP edges Louisville #19
Sweet 16
Duke #1 overall crushes despite injuries
Toss-up, MSU slight KP #9 edge and Izzo tourney prowess
Elite 8
Duke clear favorite to win loaded region per KenPom/NET/Vegas
Round of 64
no realistic path for upset
flag mild upset potential but slight favorite per line
upset alert on Akron but Tech favored
heavy favorite -12.5+ per Vegas
solid favorite -6 to -9 despite play-in
heavy favorite -17+ per lines
closer line -3.5 with upset flag
heavy favorite -23+ per lines
Round of 32
physically imposing roster dominates 8-seed
elite #3 AdjO exploits Tech's season-ending injury
#6 overall efficiency over #28 KenPom
superior net rating #13 vs #16
Sweet 16
#1 AdjD shuts down #3 AdjO
elite #4 AdjD edges #13 overall
Elite 8
dominant defense and roster predicted to win region
Round of 64
Massive mismatch, KP #2 vs #216, -29.5 spread
Flagged upset but line -1.5, KP #30 > #33
Hot 14-game streak, top turnover forcing, landmine for chalk
KP #15 vs #108, -15.5 spread
KP #23 > #34 despite key injury
KP #10 dominance, -18.5/-20.5 spread
Slight line favorite -1.5
#1 offense, -24.5 spread
Round of 32
Elite efficiency margin +37.66 crushes
Superior balance KP #15 over hot streak
BYU depth hit by ACL injury
Unmatched #1 adjusted offense
Sweet 16
Top-5 off/def edge, regional favorite
#1 offense edges balanced Gonzaga
Elite 8
Clear favorite per odds/KenPom to win region
How this bracket was built
5 Deep queries ($10) — one per region + Final Four. 16 agents searched web + X simultaneously.
KenPom ratings, Polymarket odds, Vegas lines, injury reports, tempo stats, X/Twitter sentiment.
AI extracted 63 structured picks with confidence scores. 6 games flagged as upsets.
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